Book by liberal [!] journalist reveals how “Abu Hunter” Biden’s mid-dimwittery begot the Afghanistan debacle

[Still traveling with rotten internet access. So I leave you with this:]

Paul Mirengoff at “RIngside at the Reckoning”:

I suspect that most of us have known at least one person of average intelligence who forged his way ahead in life through the gift of gab, people skills (with the right people), and unflagging self-confidence (at least on the surface). This can be a winning formula. 

It helps if, as this type of person (typically a male) takes on responsibilities that are increasingly complex, he is able to harness the talents of people who understand and can deal with complexity. Of course, this only works if the in-over-his-head boss is willing to listen. 

Unfortunately, the same self-confidence that facilitates the boss’ rise can cut against a willingness to listen. So can the desire to demonstrate that his intelligence isn’t just average.

The easiest way to fake intellectual prowess in this context is to deny that matters are as complex as the experts claim. If a problem can be reduced to simple terms, the man-in-charge can more than hold his own.

There’s nothing wrong with trying to simplify matters, and it’s true that experts will sometimes impose layers of complexity just to demonstrate their superiority or usefulness. But when it comes to simplifying, the guiding principle should always be, in the words of Alfred North Whitehead, “seek simplicity and distrust it.” 

This brings us to Joe Biden. His disastrous handling of America’s withdrawal from Afghanistan is covered in two new books. One, by the liberal journalist Franklin Foer, is The Last Politician. It’s due out in September but has already been excerpted by The Atlantic.

The excerpts from Foer’s book are behind a paywall. However, the New York Post summarizes the part pertaining to Afghanistan here.

The essence of the reporting can be found in the Post’s title: “Biden’s ‘swaggering faith in himself’ left White House ill-prepared as Taliban took over Afghanistan.”

[…] If Foer’s reporting is accurate, Biden uses precisely the tactic to disguise inferior intelligence that I described above. He claims that dealing with foreign affairs requires only emotional intelligence — which he could claim to possess — not expertise or subtlety — which he manifestly lacks. 

Denying the existence of complexity, Biden reduced foreign affairs to the level of dealing with ordinary family matters, as if persuading Putin not to invade Ukraine is analogous to persuading an uncle to sober up (and as if Biden has had success in dealing with his son’s substance abuse problems).

Read the whole thing. But there’s more:

We shouldn’t have been surprised by this. What is, perhaps, surprising given Biden’s reputation for empathy, is this (from the Post’s article about Foer’s book):

“For a man vaunted for his empathy, he could be detached, even icy, when confronted with the prospect of human suffering,” Foer wrote of Biden, who was caught apparently looking at his watch while attending the dignified transfer of 13 service members killed in an ISIS-K suicide bombing at Hamid Karzai International Airport and allegedly told the mother of one of the victimsthat her son’s death was just like that of his late son Beau. . . .

As for the angry reaction [to the horrors of the withdrawal], Biden considered it “overheated,” reportedly telling an aide that “either the press is losing its mind, or I am.” [ED.: embrace the healing power of “and”? Or is it possible there is nothing left to lose there?]

It must have been the press. After all, why all the fuss over dead Americans, abandoned Americans, Afghan’s falling to their death from U.S. helicopters they tried to hold onto from outside, and all that?

Maybe Biden is as hollow emotionally as he is intellectually.

Maybe? But I do wonder whether Abu Hunter Biden wasn’t even dispensing his own midwitted garbage with disastrous consequences, but that he was merely executing that of that bright-normal with delusions of genius — his puppet master Barack the Blightbringer.

Meanwhile, Baghdad Karine Jean-Pierre claims reporters “can’t keep up with Biden”.

“Climate emergency” in one chart

[Am traveling for work with very poor internet connection. Just leaving you with this:]

Via Powerline, who quote two German nature conservationists:

The business model “global warming” is mainly corrupt and is run by paid scientists and organizations and is headed by a super rich group of billionaires. Their aim is not to protect the climate, but to generate funds for themselves and their dubious machinations.

Their goal is to introduce a CO2-emission tax, like the sin-emission model in the Middle Ages, in which all the states, the politicians and corrupt scientific institutions make money. Their approach is fear and panic mongering by claiming that the end of the world is coming and that it is due to man burning fossil fuel.

[Powerline: comments]To be fair, medieval sales of indulgences had a more plausible basis in theology than global warming hype has in science.

This business model also involves the media who employ trained fear reporters who are referred to as “experts”. Their mission is to work for the profitable business model of global warming and climate death. They are experts of fear-mongering and the propagation of the CO2-climate lie.
***
The poor of the world will get nothing of it, however, because the money flows exclusively into the pockets of the followers of this modern indulgence trade. Really respectable experts are marginalized and disparaged, as for example the Nobel prize winner Professor Clauser. These distinguished experts never get mentioned at all in the German media.

It is time to finally put an end to this hoax, especially in Germany. We need an uprising of the decent against this fraudulent business model of alleged climate rescue. Nature conservation and environmental protection must finally be put back at the center of political action.

[Powerline:] Germany is closer to open rebellion against the global warming fraudsters than is the U.S., if only because that country is farther down the path of de-industrialization and self-imposed poverty than we are.

Addendum: Douglas Murray on the lawfare Trump indictments as “a new low in American politics”.

Here, there, and everywhere, August 25

(a) This commenter on one of Rita Panahi’s videos wins one internet

@ericaa9367
1 day ago
I own a retail store that also requires a food license as we sell consumable items. I had a customer come in last year that informed me she identifies as a cat. I asked her “so, you ARE a cat?” She said “meow, meow”. I then asked her to leave because I’m not permitted to have animals in my place of business according to the food license laws and I certainly wanted to respect her identity. She was stunned. And then she left. I wonder if she enforced her identity in other businesses after that.”

(b) Seattle journotosser blames Maui fires on “colonialism”, and “Europeans”. But of course: Molière’s fictional sanctimonious hypocrite “Tartuffe” was a paragon of rationality and moral honesty compared to today’s woke über-Tartuffes.

(c) Riveting history reading by Oren Kessler here about the thrice-damned “Grand Mufti of Jerusalem” (and buddy of Adolf H., y”sh) Ḥaj Amin al-Husseini y”sh. The centerpiece is former High Commissioner of the Mandate Herbert Samuel’s 1937 testimony. I do not believe in the “lone villain” theory of evil[*], but he definitely had an outsize role in stoking the pre-Israel Jewish-Arab conflict. think that if sometime in 1943 or so, while al-Husseini (an uncle of sorts and mentor to his nephew Mohammad al-Rauf al-Husseini, better known by his nom de guerre Yasser Arafat y”sh) was doing Arab-language propaganda broadcasts in Berlin, an Allied bomb or a car accident had happened, there is a very nontrivial chance that the Arab-Israeli conflict would have taken a very different, more peaceful turn. [Another idea for the Operation Flash

(d) Last night, a group of secular feminist activists went on a demonstration in Tel-Aviv’s one chareidi (“ultra-Orthodox”) borough, Bnei Brak. (Casa Arbel is in a rather more secular part of town.)

There was dialogue going on between women on both sides, but the fanatics were louder, reports the Times of Israel. I left this comment:

About the woman who doesn’t drive because her sons won’t get in a good yeshiva vs. the equally chareidi woman who ferries everybody around in her car: “Frummer than thou” or its mirror image “more secular/feminist/woke than thou” are ruining it for the rest of us.

There is a certain human impulse to feel morally superior — through being more religiously observant than one’s peers, or being more ideologically “pure” than one’s peers. When everybody else in their community is already at their level, they thus invent additional stringencies (viz. additional purity tests) so they can lift themselves up above the rest.

And said rest of us, if we put the moral narcissists on BOTH sides in their places, I’m sure we would find ways to get along. Practical, pragmatic, forthright people get on best with each other, no matter how different their worldviews.

(e) Arnold Kling reflects on Chesterton’s Fence and why it sometimes should be torn down. I know he can’t possibly be reading my blog, and specifically my 2018 post on Chesterton’s fence, but still...

(f) And finally, if you want to hear a refreshing interview over the Sabbath, you could do worse than this:

Have a nice weekend and Shabbat shalom

[*] with apologies to Lois McMaster Bujold, who has Miles Vorkosigan muing “I don’t believe in the lone hero theory of disaster. If I f*cked up farther, it was because I was standing on the shoulders of giants”.

Yevgeny Prigozhin, 9 others killed in plane crash

I figured Yevgeny Prigozhin was living on borrowed time, but I wasn’t quite expecting they’d go for this type of assassination.

It could be an accident, of course – like I could be the successor to Pope Francis.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/23/russia-moscow-private-jet-crash-wagner-prigozhin-live/

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/23/russia-moscow-private-jet-crash-wagner-prigozhin-live/

ADDENDUM: Via “Patrick R.” on Facebook, another possible culprit (heh):

But more seriously: UK security sources: Prigozhin jet crash ‘isn’t an accident’ and ‘has hallmarks of FSB’ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/23/yevgeny-prigozhin-death-crash-accident-putin-security/ (paywalled; cached copy)

In other news:

Must-hear interview: Steve Koonin on why so much that people “know” about “climate change” is wrong

Note: we’re talking here not about some right-wing political hack, but about the deputy Energy Secretary in the 0bama regime, er, “administration” — a former provost of Caltech who also literally wrote the book on computer modeling.

He explains just how much we don’t know about global climate, how flawed the models are… and how all of this is actually to be found in the full technical text of the IPCC report. The trouble is, nobody outside the scientific community ever reads the thousands of pages of stuff there – and instead they rely on the Summary for Policy Makers, compiled by a committee of political hacks. Or even worse, on an even further condensation by journalistic hacks more ignorant and tendentious.

At the end of this “game of telephone” (his term), you get the current hysteria.

You don’t need to see the video – but if you want to hear an hour’s worth of a truly mind-opening podcast, listen to this. You won’t regret it.

RIP Manuel Göttsching (“Ashra”)

I discovered by accident — and somewhat to my shock — that yet another of my musical heroes had joined the Great Gig In The Sky — krautrocker and electronic music pioneer Manuel Göttsching, a.k.a. Ashra or Ash Ra Tempel, who passed away at age 70.

Classically trained on guitar, he formed a short-lived blues band with school mate Lutz Ulbrich, then joined Klaus Schulze (at the time a drummer) and bassist Hartmut Enke in an improviational power trio that called itself Ash Ra Tempel. Schulze left after the first album to become one of the two mainstays of the Berlin School of electronic music (the other being Tangerine Dream). Later Hartmut left too.

At this point, Manuel G. recorded a solo album “Inventions for Electric Guitar” by overdubbing multiple layers of his guitar on a 4-track recorder. He had just discovered the minimalist compositions of Terry Riley — and it shows. Rhythm parts are not sequenced — just him playing against a metronome.

I4EG became something of a cult classic — but the two following ones, New Age Of Earth and Blackouts are my favorites. Here he developed “the” Ashra sound, centering in the contrast between the clinical precision of a sequencer playing the rhythm part on synthesizer, and his own very rubation, very emotional electric guitar sound. The track “Midnight On Mars” is a beautiful iilustration:

His later minimalist composition, the hour-long “E2-E4” would become an unexpected dance floor hit arfter several artists remixed it.

After marrying filmmaker Ilona Szok, he would compose several soundtracks for her. But he was never as active again. Last December, he passed away in his family circle at the age of 70, of undisclosed causes.

The opener of this album is probably my favorite Ashra track of all time, “Sunrain”. But the rest of the album is great as peaceful background music.

Rest in peace, Manuel.

Sociology of Israel judicial reform opponents and supporters: two intriguing threads

Shavua tov! I am not certain I buy everything written there, but two complementary threads on X offer an intriguing taxonomy of Israel “reform” opponents and supporters.

Michael “novussubsole” (Latin for “new under the sun”, חדש מתחת לשמש) sees eight distinct currents among opponents of the “judicial reform” in an X (formerly Twitter) thread unrolled here:

https://t.co/mCd6CO8iPd

Summarizing:

CORE OPPONENTS:

  • Old guard: physical or spiritual descendants of the Founders Generation. Typically upper-middle to upper class professionals, mostly but not exclusively of European background. Opposed but somewhat open to compromise.
  • establishment authoritarians: similar socio-economic profile, but more in the private than the public sector; many of them hi-tech entrepreneurs. The most hardcore and uncompromising opponents.
  • progressive liberals: often “creative class” types (artists, ravers, …). Openly admit left-wing sympathies; see the protests only as “|the first step in the *right* direction of advancing the rights of women, gays (they try not to think of the trans issue), Arabs and Ukraine. So that Israel can fully become a member of the global liberal camp.”
  • betrayed center-right: mostly former Netanyahu/Likud voters who used to support him for his free-market policies and/or being “the adult in the room”, and now feel having been “had”

PERIPHERY OPPONENTS:

  • Disengaged professionals: “These rank-and-file programmers & engineers want quiet”
  • anti-Third-Worldists: many of former USSR background, secular [although I personally know many who are traditional]; hawkish to very hawkish on the Arab-Israeli conflict but disdain messianist settler ideology; culturally stridently Western; despise Arabs, chareidim, and non-westernizing Jews in equal measure. “They actually WANT Israel to be Hungary.” Support the anti-reform camp as the lesser of two evils, but distrust the old establishment (which feeling is entirely mutual)
  • liberal religious: overwhelmingly Anglo, committed even more to Jewish unity than to their opposition to the “reform”
  • the hard left: only cares to the extent they can use it as a vehicle to rail against “the occupation” and in favor of a “one-state solution”, and actually want the protest to fail so they can demonize the rest of us further

Pseudonymous demographer “Rafi Demogge” noted that a promised thread on the SUPPORTERS never materialized, so offered his own:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1692229353713578173.html

Allow me to summarize:

CORE SUPPORTERS:

  • “proprietary religious Zionists”: see secular Zionism as a spent force, themselves as the way of the future, with the help of demography and G-d. (Not to mention messianism.)
  • “Mizrachi Maoists”: “This group isn’t driven by historical fatalism (they are typically traditional rather than strictly religious), but by ethnic and even more class antagonism.[…] They see the judicial reform as a cathartic rectification and often revenge for 75 years of oppression at the hands of the old secular Ashkenazi elite.[…] They dream of a complete overhaul and massive cleansing of all institutions, not only the justice system but also the media, the academia, the art world, elite units in the army, and more.” In a word: they and the “anti-Third-Worldists” are each other’s antithesis.
  • “Chareidi hoi polloi”: Younger ultra-Orthodox who still are fully on board with the lifestyle but have become disaffected by the sectorial parties and have instead turned to the extreme right (specifically the faction of Kachsucker-in-chief Itamar Ben-Gvir).
  • “white collar reactionaries”: the odd ducks: secular, highly educated, often Ashkenazi, sociologically indistinguishable from “old guards” and “establishment authoritarians” but hard hawkish on Arab-Israeli relations, despise the left elite, ideologically support the reform even though they are often socially pretty liberal. Less power-drunk than the former three groups, and more pessimistic, but “any mob over the junta!”

PERIPHERAL SUPPORTERS:

  • Western Conservatives: hold unabashedly conservative views on e.g. economics that are difficult to implement in Israel because most of the “Right” in Israel is actually economically left-wing. Many have an Anglo-American background, and they are deeply in tune with the Anglo-American school of constitutional conservatism. E.g.: the original architects of the “reform”, the Kohelet Policy Forum, who started backtracking once they realized the costs would outweigh the benefits.
  • “Judean pleasantvillers (a beautiful moniker coined by @novussubsole) are overwhelmingly religious, law-abiding and agreeable. They also have a highly idealized, some might say cartoonish, perception of Israeli society. For many of them, Taglit has never truly ended. The residents of Judean Pleasantville overwhelmingly support the judicial reform, but they’re compromise-minded. They are ready to accept a compromise not due to political moderation (most of them hold robustly right-wing views), but because they can’t stand… unpleasantness. Unlike the core groups, Judean Pleasantvillers harbor no knee-jerk animus against the seculars and the left. However, it’s hard for them to accept that they live in a bitterly divided, tribalistic society, so they need to engage in mental gymnastics to mitigate the effect.”
  •  The Chareidi elite: “generally wary of dabbling in the affairs of the Zionists. They prefer to do so only to the extent that is absolutely necessary in order to safeguard their many privileges and autonomies. […] the reform is a mere means for fairly narrow ends; means they’d be happy to give up as long as they can get the same goodies by other means: blanket draft exemption, yeshiva stipends, and anything els e that the Supreme Court might find objectionable.”
  •  Kahlonists [named after centrist ex-Likud politician Moshe Kachlon] “often harbor (to a weaker extent) the class and ethnic grievances of their radicalized counterparts [the “Mizrachi Maoists”], but they merely want acknowledgement and respect, not the total destruction of all existing institutions in Israel and their replacement with something entirely new. They don’t particularly like the settlers and understand the unsustainability of the Haredi status quo, but they are too culturally alienated from the center-left to see it as a viable alternative. […] Kahlonists are generally supportive of judicial reform, but they are open to a reasonable compromise about what form it should take. They are horrified at the chaos and destruction that took place in Israel over the past months and often wonder if it was worth it after all.  However, they still put most of the blame on the [opponents]. They are willing to acknowledge that some of the proposed legislation is problematic, but they agree with the rest of the right that their opponents cling to power and refuse to accept the results of democratic elections. “

Both “novussubsole” and “Rafi Demogge” state the reservation that real people may blend two or more of these perspectives: I can see bits of at least three in myself.

Sabbath musical delight: Mozart, Divertimento in Eb for string trio K. 563

Milos Forman’s “Amadeus” is a splendid movie. As history, the movie (and Peter Shaffer’s play on which the screenplay is based) is somewhere between a gross caricature and a blood libel on the antagonist Antonio Salieri.

As bedtime reading (often I’m so tired when I finally get to bed that I’m out like a light in minute), I’ve been re-reading Jan Swafford’s splendid biography of Mozart. As usual, the real figure as it emerges from written documentation (much of it preserved letters) is 100 times more fascinating than the representation in the movie — but does not lend itself as well to simplistic narratives. A few highlights:

  • quite contrary to the depiction of Mozart being reduced to penury, the last year of his life was his most lucrative, where not only rose his income to about ten times that of a middle-class civil servant, but there is documentation of him paying off loans ahead of schedule.
  • the mysterious stranger who commissioned the Requiem, for which Mozart supposedly worked himself to death, was not Salieri at all but a nobleman and wannabe composer named Fraz von Walsegg who would pay top Thaler/dollar for composers (such as Joseph Haydn’s younger brother Michael Haydn, as well as indeed Mozart) to ghost-write works for him.
  • the pauper’s grave in which Mozart was buried had nothing to do with the family’s financial circumstances, and everything with austerity decrees by recently-deceased Emperor Joseph II that had not yet been revoked. A very elaborate memorial service was in fact held.
  • while some professional rivalry may have existed between Salieri and Mozart (Swafford recounts a row where both composers wanted the same diva to sing in their operas), there appears to have been mutual respect, and at an annual benefit concert of the Tonkunstlerverein (freely: society of composers and musicians) conducted by Salieri, he picked as the pièce de résistance (the musical “main dish”, if you like) none other than Mozart’s then-recent 40th Symphony in G minor, K. 550.
  • Mozart’s scatological sense of humor, as shown in the movie, is one of the few things that is not only true but not overblown — well attested from surviving letters, not to mention jocular compositions such as a canon K. 231 on “Leck mich im Arsch”, posthumously published by Constance with a bowdlerized text.
  • I could go on for hours. Let me end with a half-funny, half-poignant anecdote:
  • when the mature Mozart on a whim accompanied a wealthy patron on a business trip to Germany, taking advantage of free transportation to hold an impromptu concert tour, he was disappointed to see a piano recital in Leipzig poorly attended. He was in fact competing with… himself! Not having an experienced impresario working on his behalf (the way his father Leopold had been for his then-child prodigies Wolfgang and his sister Nännerl), he had scheduled his concert on the same night as a performance of Figaro’s Wedding.

And now here is our musical diversion for the Sabbath today: the long string trio in Eb K. 563 that was labeled by Mozart as “just” a “divertimento”.

Enjoy, have a nice weekend, and Shabbat shalom

Here, there, everywhere: Not quite “lying flat” in Taiwan; a dissenting view on Israel’s judicial “reform”; will Kamala the Klueless be eased out of office as a prelude to replacing “Abu Hunter” Biden

(A) We’ve covered the many mainland Chinese college graduates who can’t find jobs at all, or only low-pay work for which they are overqualified.

A similar phenomenon is taking place in Taiwan:

Buried inside the video is a big part of the answer why many college graduates have trouble “realizing their dreams”, and why many earn less than their parents did with just high-school diplomas: overproduction — a problem that is affecting nearly the entire developed world.

It used to be that a college degree, even in an unremarkable major, at least guaranteed that the bearer had above-average intelligence — or, at the very least, a good memory. This can no longer be the case if 50% of Gen Z’ers have them.

I’ve reviewed four-year college curricula that, back in my own college days in the mid-1980s, corresponded to maybe a year and a half of a combined 4-year BSc+MSc degree. (This was before the “Bologna Decree” reforms that imposed a split.) General education? “That’s the job of high school” — and high schools took it seriously, at least in the academic track. We used to refer to our state-subsidized high school (tuition: zero) as an insane asylum for teachers — with ourselves as the attendants — but once I made it to the US for graduate school and got to talk with college students there, I realized just how solid a general education we had gotten. (That we had no equivalent of “catchment areas” and that anyone could attend any high school as long as they could keep up may have created a degree of inter-school competition. Also, while there were PE, sports, and some extracurriculars, they were very low priority and few resources were invested in them — or wasted on them, depending on one’s POV. The entire HS owned ONE computer — a Commodore — which I got my grubby hands on during PE hours with the help of a not-quite-kosher doctor’s note, and others finagled access at different hours by different stratagems.)

(b) I have not hidden my distaste for the so-called “judicial reform” on these pages and have highlighted a lot of negative coverage. But the story is not entirely black and white. Not everybody supporting the “reform” is a fascist or an ochlocrat (=favors dictatorship by the majority),and some of the people who scream loudest “De-Mo-Kra-Tia!” will express sentiments like “half the people are behemot” [lit. “water buffaloes”, i.e. dumb animals] or talk about how the “enlightened people” should lead for the sake of democracy and “liberal values” (which distressingly often they state as axioms but cannot defend. Sorry, for religion I go to synagogue.)

But if you want to read an intelligent, spirited defense of the “reform”, check out this long article by Gadi Taub in The Tablet. Dr. Taub (he’s a senior lecturer at Hebrew U.; WP bio here) is no conventional Bibi-ist and in the past has issued withering criticism of the “messianist” settlers, opposing their “land Zionism” to the “state Zionism” he believes in himself. But generally, he appears to be a national populist, defending democratic nation states in opposition to rule by a transnationalist class of overreaching, unaccountable officials (with the EU as the paradigmatic example).

I do not buy 100% into Taub’s narrative that the “reform” in its present, hasty and half-baked form, is necessary to keep an out-of-control baga”tz (Supreme Court) in check. There is one major issue he sidesteps completely: deeply flawed as baga”tz may be, there is effectively no other check on the power of the executive branch (which is not meaningfully separated from the legislative branch in Israel). No upper house of Parliament, no regional assemblies or member state parliaments that could act as a counterpoise)… not even a required supermajority for Basic Laws.

But with that reservation in mind, it’s a long and thoughtful read. And some of his descriptions of what Thomas Sowell would call “The Anointed”, and what I myself have referred to as “Brahmandarins”, ring painfully true to any fellow denizen of academia who has succesfully resisted assimilation into the Borg.

(C) Meanwhile in the US: If this is true, then Hawaii officialdom is further infected by wokerot than I even suspected.

And Insty lays out a new scenario for the Abu Hunter succession: first CA’s senior Senator Dianne Feinstein, about 90 and clearly no longer “quite there”, will be forced into retirement for (manifestly true) health reasons, then Klueless Kackling Kamala (also from CA) will be appointed as her replacement and as Senate Majority Leader; Gavin Nuisance [or Moochelle] will take her seat; then, his “25th Amendment Insurance” gone, F. Joe Biden will be Amendment 25-ed out of office, or primaried.

Shabbat shalom!

How the industrious ant got fired

Seen on German-language Quora. Translation:

The little ant came to work very early every day and immediately started to work. She was very diligent, accomplished a lot and was happy doing it.

Her boss, a lion, was surprised that the ant worked so well without supervision. He thought that if she could do so much without supervision, then surely she could do much more with supervision. So he hired a cockroach who had experience as a supervisor.

The first thing the cockroach did was set up a time clock. Then she needed a secretary to help her write the reports. She hired a spider who was in charge of the archives and telephone monitoring.

The lion was delighted with the cockroach’s reports, and he asked her to create graphs with production charts and analyze trends so he could present them at meetings with management.

So the cockroach bought a new computer and a laser printer and hired a fly to manage the information technology department.

The ant, once so productive and happy, hated those reams of paperwork she had to fill out every day and all the meetings that kept her from working.

The lion concluded that it was high time to hire a supervisor for the department where the ant worked.

The choice fell on a cricket, who first bought a new carpet and an ergonomic chair for her office. She also needed a computer and a personal assistant to help her create the budget and an optimization plan.

The department where Ant worked was now a sad place. No one laughed anymore, and with all the checks and reports, hardly anyone got to work.

The Lion was told that according to the statistics, the Ant’s department was not as productive as it used to be. So the lion called the owl, an accredited appraiser, to find a solution to the problem. The owl spent three months in the department and submitted a long report at the end. In summary, the owl said, “The department is overstaffed!”

And who did the lion fire first? The ant, of course, because she was unmotivated and had a negative attitude….

Illustrative picture provided by Kal Spriggs:

Israel judicial “reform” update: ultra-Orthodox coalition party rebels, Netanyahu and Levin said weighing 1-year moratorium

This has been in the Hebrew media, but here is a report in English from the Times of Israel.


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his ultra-Orthodox coalition partners are looking to freeze their divisive push to overhaul the judiciary, amid rising concerns among Haredi leaders about the cost to society and to their constituents, according to Hebrew media reports Tuesday.

Kikar Hashabat, a prominent Haredi news site, reported that United Torah Judaism, an Ashkenazi Haredi party with seven lawmakers whose support is crucial to Netanyahu’s hard-right, Likud-led coalition, demanded that the entire legislative process to curb the powers of the judiciary be halted indefinitely and only be advanced if there is broad agreement with the opposition.

Citing the head of one of the ultra-Orthodox Knesset factions, the report (Hebrew link) said Haredi coalition partners are deeply troubled by Netanyahu’s conduct and feel he’s trying to deflect the fierce criticism and opposition to the overhaul onto the Haredi community[…]

The report said the Haredi parties believe the overhaul has divided Israelis too much and are even willing to see Justice Minister Yariv Levin — the architect of the overhaul — quit his post, as he’s threatened to do if the bills aren’t advanced at a quick enough pace.

The report added that if more overhaul bills are brought for votes without the agreement of the opposition, the Haredi parties will vote against them.

[right-wing newspaper] Israel Hayom reported that Netanyahu and Levin were looking into freezing the overhaul for a year with a goal to calm the anti-overhaul movement and create the atmosphere needed to pass the controversial law regulating military draft exemptions for Haredi men.

Ultra-Orthodox parties have demanded the passage of the law on the basis of a Likud promise in the coalition agreements. In recent days, Likud officials have reportedly told the Haredi parties that the public atmosphere is too volatile to legislate that law. […]

According to the Israel Hayom report, Levin and Netanyahu are discussing a potential one-year moratorium plan with President Isaac Herzog, who previously hosted now-defunct compromise talks with opposition members.

Read the whole thing. As I wrote back in March, summarizing the analysis of several commentators (chiefly among them Chaviv Rettig Gur), different parts of the pro-“reform” coalition — the Likud, the messianist extreme “right”, and the fervently Orthodox/chareidim — have different agendas and priorities, which clash at times. The chareidim are most concerned with laws that enable the exemption of religious academy students from IDF service, and other laws favoring their community not being struck down by the Supreme Court. Thus, they do not particularly care who gets to sit on the Supreme Court, only that its decisions can be overridden by a simple majority of the Knesset. Meanwhile, the supposed architects of the “reform” themselves, the Kohelet Policy Forum, have disowned precisely the ‘Override Law’ as “stupid”, creating “understandable fear it will be abused”, and “a goat that you can kick out as part of the negotiation process. Netanyahu took the ‘override law’ off the table in an interview last month.

Developing…

Looking around, V-J Day and India Independence Day Edition

Good morning, and happy Independence Day to any Indian readers! Two major events in recent history on August 15:

(a) Victory over Japan Day: on August 15, 1945, the Japanese government agreed to unconditional capitulation to the Allies, thus ending WW II also in the Pacific Theatre.

(b) Wikipedia:

On 3 June 1947, Viscount Louis Mountbatten, the last British Governor-General of India, announced the partitioning of British India into India and Pakistan. With the speedy passage of the Indian Independence Act 1947, at 11:57 on 14 August 1947 Pakistan was declared a separate nation. Then at 12:02 A.M., on 15 August 1947 India became a sovereign and democratic nation. Eventually, 15 August became Independence Day for India marking the end of British India. Also on 15 August, both Pakistan and India had the right to remain in or remove themselves from the British Commonwealth. But in 1949, India took the decision to remain in the commonwealth.

A few media stories of note:

  • in the latest installment of the “impeach Trump!” arseclown show, indictments were handed down before the grand jury decided to indict. “Will the condemned, er, accused please rise?” (“Veroordeelde, euh, beschuldigde, sta op!”).
  • Not the Babylon Bee: government workers at the Nancy Pelosi Federal Building in San Francisco are told to work from home as the area around the building is unsafe
  • This story I would have scrapped from a satirical novel as being “unrealistic and over the top”. Beyond cringeworthy. And if the protagonist in my novel had the surname Margolis while behaving in this manner, somebody would have accused me of antisemitism (or, in Israel, of anti-Ashkenazi prejudice).
  • Fail, Britannia!” Tech firms are threatening to leave the UK due to the Online Safety Bill. “Britain wants unlimited ability to read people’s private communications and, given what local police already do with public communications, tech firms would be right to quit the UK.”
  • Maui fires: This would already be Biden’s ‘Katrina moment’ if “Abu Hunter” Biden were a Republican.

And speaking of Maui fires, not the politicking around them: Mrs. Arbel sent me an article by a Greek-American professor at U. of Southern California [WSJ: paywalled; cached copy] points to the similarities between the Maui tragedy and a similar one in 2018 at the holiday village east of Athen — and to the lessons learned and succesfully implemented in Greece. “Athens learned the lessons of a 2018 blaze that killed 104. In Rhodes last month, only one person [a volunteer firefighter] died.”

Consider Rhodes, Greece, an island roughly the same length and width as Maui. Its economy depends almost entirely on tourism, with about 2.5 million visitors in 2022, about the same number as Maui. Maui is a typical tropical Polynesian island; Rhodes is subtropical, and by Eastern Mediterranean standards, quite wooded and wet.

Last month several fires broke out in Rhodes, and there were big differences in crisis management. In Maui, about 11,000 tourists were evacuated, mainly from two locales. In Rhodes, between 20,000 and 30,000 people were evacuated from 12 locales in a single day. The fires in Maui burned for two days, in Rhodes for about eight. In Rhodes about 1,500 were evacuated from beaches, in Maui fewer than 20. In Rhodes, local residents, the Red Cross and Greek Civil Protection delivered humanitarian supplies to evacuees. In Maui some survivors reportedly had to buy their own mattresses and pillows.

In Rhodes there was only one casualty, a volunteer firefighter. There were evacuation orders from the Greek emergency communications service, known as 112. In addition to being a single emergency number like 911, the 112 service encompasses a national integrated public alert and warning system, which provides emergency information to the public through mobile and landline telephones. The service doesn’t require an app or subscription; the messages go to all cellphones in an area at risk, in Greek and in English.

Read the whole thing.

ADDENDUM: harsh but fair

Maui wildfires: “climate change” or land mismanagement? Expert: “I warned about this years ago”

Via Brian Chai at the Western Journal and Fox News, an environmental managements specialist from U. of Hawaii, Manoa with the priceless name Clay Trauernicht [*] [Google Scholar profile] posted a thread of X (formerly Twitter) tweets  about how he predicted the deadly Maui wildfires years ago. Here is the ThreadReaderApp unroll:

Still, blaming this on weather and climate is misleading. Hawai’i’s fire problem is due to the vast areas of unmanaged, nonnative grasslands from decades of declining agriculture. 

These savannas now cover about a million acres across the main Hawaiian Islands, mostly the legacy of land clearing for plantation agriculture and ranching in the late 1800s/early 1900s 

The transformation to savanna makes the landscape way more sensitive to bad ‘fire weather’ – hot, dry, windy conditions. It also means we get huge buildups of fuels during rainy periods. 

Agriculture declines also mean less help for firefighters – less maintenance of roads, irrigation and water storage and even fewer people with knowledge of the land 

So the burden Hawai’i’s current fire problem places on emergency responders, the impacts on farms and ecosystems, the losses our community’s experiencing right now – its mostly from benign neglect 

This is maddening but also good news – Hawaii’s fire problem could be far, far more manageable with adequate support, planning, and resources for fuel reduction projects, agricultural land use, and restoration and reforestation around communities and the foot of our forests. 

Western Journal also adds that, lest we think “Trauernicht sounded is some sort of reactionary, opportunistically using the disaster to make a point, the man’s been sounding the alarm since at least 2019, when he penned a letter to the editor in The Maui News about far less devastating fires”

The letter is quite long, as such letters go, but good reading. https://www.mauinews.com/opinion/letters-to-the-editor/2019/02/maui-has-the-know-how-to-deal-with-wildfire-risk/

[*] “Trauer nicht” = “do not mourn” in German. LIke the band Depeche Mode in their song “Blasphemous Rumours”, I have often wondered if G-d has a sick sense of humor and I will see Him laughing when I finally get to meet Him.

Powerline discovers “The Great Realignment”; did an inept local authorities response increase the death toll from the Maui wildfires?

(a) Ah, the Great Realignment… which I’ve been blogging about (e.g., here and guestblogging at Sarah Hoyt’s place) since 2016. John Hinderaker says he wouldn;t have taken this seriously ten years ago, then goes on to quote Matt Taibbi: (paywalled; YouTube podcast version below):

The realignment of major parties away from blue against red and toward a rich versus poor dynamic is America’s most undercovered political story.
***
There are now so many taboo subjects in American politics that even data journalists, whose job it is to give us the cold hard facts, are forced to communicate in allusions and metaphors, because what’s happening can’t be discussed.

American politics has long been a careful truce, in which natural economic tensions were obscured by an elegantly phony two-party structure that kept urban and rural poor separate, nurtured a politically unadventurous middle class, and tended to needs of the mega-rich no matter who won. That system is in collapse. Voters are abandoning traditional blue-red political identities and realigning according to more explosive divisions based on education and income. …

The only reason polls are 43-43 (or perhaps slightly in Biden’s disfavor) is because the other actor is Donald Trump. If Democrats should be panicking because they’re not trouncing an opponent whose biggest campaign events have been arraignments, it’s just as bad for Trump that he polls even with a man who’s a threat to walk into a propellor or carry a child into a forest every time he walks outside. Still, the abject horror Trump inspires in the Georgetown set may be his greatest political asset, and a reason the realignment seems to be proceeding even with him around.

Screen cap from the whole video [fair use under Article 27b of the Israeli copyright law]:

John adds this cynical tweet from one of his daughters:

(b) SSC’s correspondent-at-large “Debbie” shares this item about the horrific Maui fires (she used to live there) and the utter fustercluck that appears to have been the official response:

https://www.kitv.com/news/lahaina/in-deadly-maui-wildfires-communication-failed-chaos-overtook-lahaina-along-with-the-flames/article_9f9c94a5-4945-56a9-92df-99ddabec825b.html

“Debbie” comments:

– The island has sirens but didn’t activate them, which people expected to have happened if things got worse 

– Cryptic communication from Maui country Facebook post written about fire speed without clear action items was released shortly before the town was burnt 

– While fire started burning Lahaina a Maui county FB post told people to shelter in place 

– Officials guided people towards the civic center which was where the fire was erupting at the time, some people followed others refused

– 4 hours after the burning Maui country wrote a Twitter post about sheltering in place (despite the smoke) due to road closures, to which people reminded them that Lahaina hasn’t had cell service for most of the day

– No communication outside of Facebook and Twitter was provided

Helpful action items: Jumping towards the water, having a waterproof bag to keep phone safe for flashlights

Remember the late lamented Ronald Reagan saying: “The two most terrifying sentences in the English language are, ‘I’m from the government, and I’m here to help!”

Also: the more incompetent governments gets at their real core functions (defense, combating serious crime, emergency response), the more they engage in virtue signaling, busybodying, and social engineering as “displacement” in the Freudian sense (which I discuss at some length here and here).

Sabbath musical delight: “Peaceful piano, French edition” (compilation)

As background or foreground music, here is a compilation of mostly late-Romantic and Impressionist French piano pieces. Many of them are repertoire evergreens like Ravel’s “Pavane for a deceased princess” and Debussy’s “Moonlight”, but there are delightful pieces by lesser-known composers[*] as well. Saint-Saens’s “The Swan” appears here in his own virtuosic and somewhat over-done piano arrangement.

Enjoy, have a nice weekend, and Shabbat shalom.

[*] This includes Cécile Chaminade, a celebrated composer-pianist who “broke through the glass ceiling” by becoming the first female composer to be awarded the Légion d’Honneur. Her piano music now being mostly (and unfairly) forgotten, one of her works, concertino for flute and orchestra in D minor Opus 107, is still often played as an audition piece by flutists.

Looking around: more to the “frozen Arab funding” story than meets the eye; VP of Abu Hunter “explains” democracy

Lefties at work were hollering about how “the far-right government blocked funding for Arab municipalities”.

While I cringe at some of the stuff written in the Times of Israel, they have some people on the staff who do actual journalism as I understand the word — trying to find out and report what’s actually going on, rather than what one side or another would like to hear. (In particular, my respect for Ḥaviv Rettig Gur keeps going up.)

Unsurprisingly, the real story is rather more complex, as discussed in their “Daily Briefing” podcast.

Facing growing criticism, including from some coalition figures, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich on Wednesday defended his decision to freeze millions of shekels budgeted for Arab Israelis, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pledged the funds would eventually be transferred.

Smotrich has taken flack over the past few days for refusing to release NIS 200 million ($55 million) for economic development in Arab municipalities, and maintaining a hold on a higher education program for East Jerusalem residents. Smotrich, head of the far-right Religious Zionism party, has drawn accusations of racism from opposition lawmakers.

The funds — aimed at boosting the economy, upgrading infrastructure and fighting crime in Arab communities — were approved by the previous government, which included the Islamist Ra’am party alongside left-wing, centrist and right-wing parties that united in opposition to Netanyahu.

In his first public comments on the far-right leader’s decision to block the money from being transferred, Netanyahu’s office said Wednesday evening that unspecified monitoring mechanisms would be put in place before the funding goes through, an apparent nod to claims by Smotrich that the reserves could end up in the hands of local organized crime groups or go toward supporting terrorism.

“Arab citizens of Israel deserve what all citizens deserve and I am committed to that. This is my demand of all government ministries and it will be done after a check that ensures the money indeed reaches its destination — Arab citizens of Israel,” Netanyahu said in a statement.

Let me summarize: ḤRG explains: the crackdown on organized crime in the Jewish sector some 30 years ago created a vacuum for their “services”, into which Arab organized crime expanded. Currently, Arab Israeli society is in the grip of turf wars between rival crime syndicates, with no week passing without several people being gunned down in them — including innocent bystanders just being caught in the crossfire.

It got to the point that crime syndicates have made inroads in local government — wait, how is this different from Chicago? — and there is concern that most of the transferred funds would end up fattening the coffers of rival mafia clains rather than being used for their intended purpose.

In fact, Mansour Abbas, leader of the moderate islamist Ra`am party, agreed that this danger exists and that therefore an oversight mechanism should be created. Shas MK Moshe Arbel (no relation to yours truly[*]) agreed wholeheartedly, and added “there is no reason for pointless Jewish-Arab wars over [what we all agree upon]”.

However, far-right Betzalel Smotrich sees his electoral support slip away, as increasing numbers of his voters defect to the even more radical Itamar “All must prostate [sic] themselves before the holy zayin of Meir Kahane!” Ben-Gvir. So he needed to strike a pose of “toughness on the Arabs” to shore up his flagging support. Almost immediately, Netanyahu came out with the above declaration — but the timing makes it suspect that Smotrich was not speaking out of turn, but that the two “conflicting” statements were precoordinated.

(b) And how would we ever understand “the nature democracy” otherwise? Via Powerline:

Sweet Meteor of Death…

It occurred to me that VP, transposed, coudl stand for “Pretty Vacant”:

There’s no point in asking
You’ll get no reply
Oh just remember a don’t decide
I got no reason it’s all too much
You’ll always find us
Out to lunch

Oh we’re so pretty
Oh so pretty
We’re vacant
Oh we’re so pretty
Oh so pretty
A-vacant

Looking around: Arnold Kling on the anxiety of the managerial class; rare moment of self-awareness by NYT commentator, who wonders “what if we are baddies?”

[I’m fine but have been on an academic writing binge for the past several days that left me no energy to blog. And when I do, I cringe at my own typos that my bleary eyes can’t even notice anymore.]

(A) Arnold Kling (see below) responds to a very long essay by one N. S. Lyons. about how the political systems of the West and of Communist China are increasingly starting to resemble each other:

Despite a rhetorical commitment to egalitarianism and “democracy,” the elite class deeply distrusts and fears the people over whom it rules. These elites have concentrated themselves into a separate oligarchic political body focused on prioritizing and preserving their rule and their own overlapping set of shared interests. Wracked by anxiety, they strive constantly to maximize their control over the masses, rationalizing a need to forcefully maintain stability in the face of dangerous threats, foreign and domestic. Everything is treated as an emergency. “Safety” and “security” have become be the watchwords of the state, and of society generally.

This elite obsession with control is accelerated by a belief in “scientific management,” or the ability to understand, organize, and run all the complex systems of society like a machine, through scientific principles and technologies. The expert knowledge of how to do so is considered the unique and proprietary possession of the elite vanguard. Ideologically, this elite is deeply materialist, and openly hostile to organized religion, which inhibits and resists state control. They view human beings themselves as machines to be programmed, and, believing the common man to be an unpredictable creature too stupid, irrational, and violent to rule himself, they endeavor to steadily condition and replace him with a better model through engineering, whether social or biological. Complex systems of surveillance, propaganda, and coercion are implemented to help firmly nudge (or shove) the common man into line. Communities and cultural traditions that resist this project are dismantled. Harmfully contrary ideas are systematically censored, lest they lead to dangerous exposure. Governing power has been steadily elevated, centralized, and distributed to a technocratic bureaucracy unconstrained by any accountability to the public.

All of this is justified by a utopian ideological dialectic of historical progress and inevitability. Those more in tune with the tide of history (i.e. elite interests) are held to be morally and intellectually superior, as a class, to backwards reactionary elements. Only certain views are stamped “scientific” and “correct,” although these may change on a political whim. An economism that values only the easily quantifiable reigns as the only moral lodestar, and frictionless efficiency is held up as highest common good; the individual is encouraged to fulfill his assigned role as a docile consumer and cog in the regime’s machine, not that of a self-governing citizen. The state regularly acts to stimulate and manage consumer demand, and to strategically regulate and guide industrial production, and the corporate sector has largely fused itself with the state. Cronyism is rampant.

The relentless political messaging and ideological narrative has come to suffuse every sphere of life, and dissent is policed. Culture is largely stagnant. Uprooted, corralled, and hounded, the people are atomized, and social trust is very low. Reality itself often feels obscured and uncertain. Demoralized, some gratefully accept any security offered by the state as a blessing. At the same time, many citizens automatically assume everything the regime says is a lie. Officialdom in general is a Kafkaesque tragi-comedy of the absurd, something only to be stoically endured by normal people. Yet year by year the pressure to conform only continues to be ratcheted higher…

Which country does this describe? If you can’t quite tell, well, that’s the point. For many citizens of the West, the systems of governance under which we live increasingly feel uncomfortably similar to what appears offer in the People’s Republic of China.

[…]

Sometime around the second half of the 19th century a revolution in human affairs began to take place. . .In government, in business, in education, and in almost every other sphere of life, new methods and techniques of organization emerged in order to manage the growing complexities of mass and scale: the mass bureaucratic state, the mass standing army, the mass corporation, mass media, mass public education, and so on. This was the managerial revolution.

…That previous order, which has been referred to by scholars of the managerial revolution as the bourgeois order, was represented … by the petite bourgeoisie, or what could be described as the independent middle class. The entrepreneurial small business owner, the multi-generational family shop owners, the small-scale farmer or landlord; the community religious or private educator; even the relatively well-to-do local doctor: these and others like them formed the backbone of a large social and economic class that found itself existentially at odds with the interests of the managerial revolution. […]

Arnold Kling comments:

Think of what has happened to the primary care doctor in the 21st century. Burdened by insurance company paperwork, forced to work with complex, alien systems for keeping electronic medical records, and squeezed by low reimbursements from Medicare and Medicaid, the independent practitioner flees into the waiting arms of the large hospital-run provider networks. The managerial revolution wins again.

Lyons contrasts the cultural values of the managerial class with those of the bourgeoisie.

bourgeois values consisted of a mix of conservative and classical liberal values. … an aversion to top-down control; an accepted diversity of regional and local folkways and traditions; a general mythic ideal of spirited individualism and energetic self-reliance; a counter-veiling tradition of tight-knit family life and exceptionally widespread participation in a proliferation of thick religious, community, and civic associations and affiliations (as most famously described by Alexis de Tocqueville); “Protestant work ethic,” and an attention to thrift and self-discipline as moral virtues; an intimate connection to the land, and a very strong attachment to middle-class property ownership as central to republican self-governance and the national character;”

I [Arnold Kling] would say that the attempt to defuse accountability is the Achilles’ heel of the soft managerial regime. As I once wrote,” I predict that you will only see high trust where you see effective accountability. I challenge you to point to an institution or segment of society that is accorded high trust with little accountability, or vice-versa.
The trust-accountability correlation helps us to understand the process of trust breaking down. Trust breaks down when accountability systems decay.

[…] I would note that this concept of internal vs. external locus of control has come up a lot in my recent reading. There are those who claim that progressive ideology, including the oppressor-oppressed framing and the claim that people need “safe spaces” and “trigger warnings,” serves to guide people toward the unhealthy mindset of an external locus of control.

Safetyism is utterly typological of managerial societies everywhere, soft or hard, in Sacramento or Shanghai. At the top, a managerial elite is naturally obsessed with total control – with running society like their envisioned machine… For the professional managerial middle, doubting or deviating from the rules and procedures of the bureaucratic machine is not so much inconceivable as unimaginably immoral and déclassé…From below, the social atomization, empty relativistic nihilism, and learned helplessness produced by managerialism cultivates in the masses a constant state of anxiety; in an attempt to relieve this anxiety many among them then themselves demand greater and greater managerial control over life be exercised from above.

I say, and I think Lyons would agree, that our elites are caught in a vicious cycle in which as their prestige falls, their use of dominance strategies increases. (Recall my essay on prestige, dominance, and propriety). The soft managerial regime gets harder. But that will cause some of us to push back. At the end of his essay, Lyons hopes that we will “tear the false order of managerialism and all its poisonous ideological spawn root and branch from the world forever.”

Let me add a take I’ve heard from ex-Soviet immigrants here. People grumbled about the Tsar, but put up with him as long as he was able to keep the country: (a) fed; (b) safe from foreign invaders. When he was no longer able to do even those, his days were numbered.

I would say, it is no coincidence that the less the “managerial elite” is able to deliver the basics, the more pushback they get.

(b) On a tangentially related subject, the NYT’s token “conservative” commentator David Brooks — 0bama’s Knight of the Pants Crease, remember? — had a rare moment of self-awareness where he wonders: what if we [i.e., the “journalistic” neo-clerisy supporting the neo-feudal rule of the managerial elite] are actually the baddies?

Both Powerline and their exiled co-founder, Paul Mirengoff, have great, part sarcastic and part serious, takes on this. Mirengoff (now blogging at “Ringside At The Reckoning”):

[blockquote]

Brooks writes:

We built an entire social order that sorts and excludes people on the basis of the quality that we possess most: academic achievement. Highly educated parents go to elite schools, marry each other, work at high-paying professional jobs and pour enormous resources into our children, who get into the same elite schools, marry each other and pass their exclusive class privileges down from generation to generation.

The elites impose policies that benefit themselves and hurt the less educated:

Armed with all kinds of economic, cultural and political power, we support policies that help ourselves. Free trade makes the products we buy cheaper, and our jobs are unlikely to be moved to China. Open immigration makes our service staff cheaper, but new, less-educated immigrants aren’t likely to put downward pressure on our wages.

At the cultural level:

We change the moral norms in ways that suit ourselves, never mind the cost to others. For example, there used to be a norm that discouraged people from having children outside marriage, but that got washed away during our period of cultural dominance, as we eroded norms that seemed judgmental or that might inhibit individual freedom.

After this social norm was eroded, a funny thing happened. Members of our class still overwhelmingly married and had children within wedlock. People without our resources, unsupported by social norms, were less able to do that. As Adrian Wooldridge points out in his magisterial 2021 book, “The Aristocracy of Talent,” “Sixty percent of births to women with only a high school certificate occur out of wedlock, compared with only 10 percent to women with a university degree.” That matters, he continues, because “the rate of single parenting is the most significant predictor of social immobility in the country.”

Therefore:

It’s easy to understand why people in less-educated classes would conclude that they are under economic, political, cultural and moral assault — and why they’ve rallied around Trump as their best warrior against the educated class. He understood that it’s not the entrepreneurs who seem most threatening to workers; it’s the professional class. Trump understood that there was great demand for a leader who would stick his thumb in our eyes on a daily basis and reject the whole epistemic regime that we rode in on.

Brooks gets a lot right in his column, but I think he misses some key points. In the end, moreover, he, like Trump, patronizes what he calls the “less-educated classes” by over-emphasizing their victimization and downplaying their agency.

One important point that Brooks understates, nearly to the point of discounting, is the degree to which the resentment of Trump supporters is rooted in cultural issues — the product of the “educated class” trying to shove its non-traditional values down their throats. Upper class kids have always had the advantage when it comes to admission to top colleges (more so before the 1960s than since). I doubt this has ever fueled much resentment.

What fuels resentment is having one’s religion and one’s values mocked and over-ridden. This, the modern professional class does with a vengeance.

[end blockquote]

(c) Developing story (link from Mrs. Arbel): are Israel and Saudi Arabia truly on the way to open normalization? (It’s almost an open secret here that there is sub rosa cooperation between them.) Will the 0bama retreads populating the Biden regime unwittingly or willfully sabotage a normalization process they are allegedly midwifing?

The Kyūjō Conspiracy – How a Group of Japanese Officers Planned to Overthrow the Emperor and Continue WW2

With yesterday being Hiroshima Day, and the movie “Oppenheimer” currently being in theaters, there is a lot to debate on the use of the A-bomb and whether it truly ended the war.

Mrs. Arbel, who has lived in Japan, is fluent in the language, and familiar with the culture is categorical: every Japanese from that generation said that, had they had the bomb, they would not have hesitated one second to use it — and they bore no grudge toward the Allies for doing so.

She also pointed out — as I’ve blogged about here before — that the old-school Japanese “death before dishonor” culture would not have permitted them to surrender even at the cost of the wholesale destruction (or death from starvation blockade) of their whole country, However, after the A-bombs, Emperor Hirohito was able to present the choice as one between “destruction of all humanity” and “bearing the unbearable [and surrender]” — allowing the Japanese to preserve their honor.

What relatively few people know is that even after Hirohito already had made his decision and recorded the “bear the unbearable” speech for transmission at noon on August 15 — the Japanese called it “The Jewel Voice Broadcast” because of the extremely formal court language used — a group of diehard officers led by one Major Hatanaka attempted a coup known as the Kyujo Conspiracy or Kyujo Incident. [Read more about it here.] The basic objective was to storm and occupy the Imperial Palace [Japanese: Kyujo], keep the Emperor hostage, capture and destroy the recordings, and continue the war, “knowing” that the people were behind them. Extensive quote from Wikipedia below:

Originally, Hatanaka hoped that simply occupying the palace and showing the beginnings of a rebellion would inspire the rest of the Army to rise up against the move to surrender. This notion guided him through much of the last days and hours and gave him the blind optimism to move ahead with the plan, despite having little support from his superiors. Having set all the pieces into position, Hatanaka and his co-conspirators decided that the Guard would take over the palace at 02:00. The hours until then were spent in continued attempts to convince their superiors in the Army to join the coup. At about the same time, General Anami killed himself, leaving a message that read, “I—with my death—humbly apologize to the Emperor for the great crime.”[9] Whether the crime involved losing the war, or the coup, remains unclear.[10]

At some time after 01:00, Hatanaka and his men surrounded the palace. Hatanaka, Shiizaki, Ida, and Captain Shigetarō Uehara (of the Air Force Academy) went to the office of Lt. General Takeshi Mori to ask him to join the coup. Mori was in a meeting with his brother-in-law, Michinori Shiraishi. The cooperation of Mori, as commander of the 1st Imperial Guards Division, was crucial.[11] When Mori refused to side with Hatanaka, Hatanaka murdered him, fearing Mori would order the Guards to stop the rebellion.[12] Uehara killed Shiraishi. These were the only two murders of the night. Hatanaka then used General Mori’s official stamp to authorize Imperial Guards Division Strategic Order No. 584, a false set of orders created by his co-conspirators, which would greatly increase the strength of the forces occupying the Imperial Palace and Imperial Household Ministry, and “protecting” the emperor.[13]

The palace police were disarmed and all the entrances blocked.[14] Over the course of the night, Hatanaka’s rebels captured and detained eighteen people, including Ministry staff and NHK workers sent to record the surrender speech.[14]

Kōichi Kido, Lord of the Privy Seal, was hiding with the recordings.

The rebels, led by Hatanaka, spent the next several hours fruitlessly searching for Imperial Household Minister Sōtarō Ishiwata [ja], Lord of the Privy Seal Kōichi Kido, and the recordings of the surrender speech. The two men were hiding in the “bank vault”, a large chamber underneath the Imperial Palace.[15][16] The search was made more difficult by a blackout in response to Allied bombings, and by the archaic organization and layout of the Imperial House Ministry. Many of the names of the rooms were unrecognizable to the rebels. The rebels did find the chamberlain Yoshihiro Tokugawa. Although Hatanaka threatened to disembowel him with a samurai sword, Tokugawa lied and told them he did not know where the recordings or men were.[12][17] During their search, the rebels cut nearly all of the telephone wires, severing communications between their prisoners on the palace grounds and the outside world.

At about the same time, in YokohamaKanagawa Prefecture, another group of Hatanaka’s rebels led by Captain Takeo Sasaki went to Prime Minister Suzuki’s office, intent on killing him. When they found it empty, they machine-gunned the office and set the building on fire, then left for his home. Chief Cabinet Secretary Hisatsune Sakomizu had warned Suzuki, and he escaped minutes before the would-be assassins arrived. After setting fire to Suzuki’s home, they went to the estate of Kiichirō Hiranuma to assassinate him. Hiranuma escaped through a side gate and the rebels burned his house as well. Suzuki spent the rest of August under police protection, spending each night in a different bed.[12][18]

Around 03:00, Hatanaka was informed by Lieutenant Colonel Masataka Ida that the Eastern District Army was on its way to the palace to stop him, and that he should give up.[19][20] Finally, seeing his plan collapsing around him, Hatanaka pleaded with Tatsuhiko Takashima [ja], Chief of Staff of the Eastern District Army, to be given at least ten minutes on the air on NHK radio, to explain to the people of Japan what he was trying to accomplish and why. He was refused.[21] Colonel Haga, commander of the Second Regiment of the First Imperial Guards, discovered that the Army did not support this rebellion, and he ordered Hatanaka to leave the palace grounds.

Just before 05:00, as his rebels continued their search, Major Hatanaka went to NHK studios, and, brandishing a pistol, tried desperately to get some airtime to explain his actions.[22] A little over an hour later, after receiving a telephone call from the Eastern District Army, Hatanaka finally gave up. He gathered his officers and walked out of the NHK studio.[23]

The coup collapsed after Shizuichi Tanaka convinced the rebellious officers to go home. Tanaka killed himself nine days later.

At dawn, Tanaka learned that the palace had been invaded. He went there and confronted the rebellious officers, berating them for acting contrary to the spirit of the Japanese army. He convinced them to return to their barracks.[12][24] By 08:00, the rebellion was entirely dismantled, having succeeded in holding the palace grounds for much of the night but failing to find the recordings.[25]

Hatanaka, on a motorcycle, and Shiizaki, on horseback, rode through the streets, tossing leaflets that explained their motives and their actions. Within an hour before the emperor’s broadcast, sometime around 11:00, on 15 August, Hatanaka placed his pistol to his forehead, and shot himself. Shiizaki stabbed himself with a dagger, and then shot himself. In Hatanaka’s pocket was his death poem: “I have nothing to regret now that the dark clouds have disappeared from the reign of the Emperor.”[18]

With apologies to J.B.S. Haldane: History is not only stranger than we suppose, it is stranger than we can suppose.

Israel judicial “reform” update: Kohelet Policy Forum loses largest donor; prominent right-wing commentator comes out AGAINST “half-baked” reform proposal, slams Netanyahu for allowing himself to be “dragged around” by extremists

More mass protests against the so-called judicial “reform” last night here — somewhat muted after a shooting attack by an Islamist Jewhate member from Jenin, critically wounding [UPDATE: killing] one before being shot himself.

There is a lot of overblown rhetoric about how this reform will destroy our hi-tech economy (about half of our GDP at this point), IDF readiness, etc… I’ve learned to tune much of it out as noise, and just the other day we heard of a $7billion (!) investment by Amazon’s cloud division — so I assume those investers who really know what they want won’t be affected much.

But there is damage alright. And apparently some stalwart conservative donors are turning on the “reformers”.

Times of Israel reports that billionaire Arthur Dantchik, the main donor to the Kohelet Policy Forum — a conservative think-tank widely regarded as the architect of the reform proposals — has withdrawn his funding. The headline is of course a little misleading — when you read the actual article, he’s actually funding a number of think tanks across the political spectrum, including the left-leaning Israel Democracy Institute and the pluralistic Shalom Hartman Institute, saying:

“Throughout my life, I have supported a diverse array of organizations that promote individual liberties and economic freedoms for all people. Nevertheless, when a society becomes dangerously fragmented, people must come together to preserve democracy. I stopped donating to think tanks in Israel, including the Kohelet Policy Forum. I believe what is most critical at this time is for Israel to focus on healing and national unity.”

It should be pointed out, as reported here previously, that several key players in Kohelet have disowned central aspects of the “reform” that Yariv “azijnpisser” Levin and his poodle no-Simcha Rottenman are still trying to ram through. In particular, Prof. Moshe Koppel used the term “idiotic” for the “61-MK override law” which would allow the Knesset to annul any Supreme Court decision; while chief economist Michael Sarel warned about the economic fall-out, and quoted Lord Acton “power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely”.

And now Amit Segal, the most prominent right-wing commentator on Channel 12 (and in the Yediot Achronot paper) spoke out:

A leading conservative journalist on Friday blasted a new proposal for the selection of judges floated by the government and slammed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for getting “dragged around” by Justice Minister Yariv Levin.

Amit Segal, the most prominent right-wing voice at the leading Channel 12 news network, wrote in a tweet promoting his weekly column in Yedioth Ahronoth that “Levin and Netanyahu are now promoting a foolish, half-baked and completely rotten initiative, which will create a tie in the committee for selecting judges between the coalition and the opposition.”

[…] “What happened to the Netanyahu we knew?” Segal wrote. “The Netanyahu of the past was a leader who controlled his party and his camp with sophistication and charisma, who knew how to maneuver between the extremists and the moderates and pursue a hidden goal, which was revealed to everyone else only gradually and belatedly.”

Since the formation of the government, which Segal charged was carried out amid “extortion,” Netanyahu “has drifted from crisis to crisis, in an event he did not initiate, with his goals transparent to all.”

Segal also claimed that Levin presented his plan in January to dramatically weaken the judiciary “without Netanyahu knowing its details.”

“Bound by an illusory conflict of interest arrangement, full of fear of forced recusal, the prime minister gave Levin the Justice Ministry so that he would carry out important, but limited reform, in the hope that he would act wisely,” Segal said.

Segal said that Shas leader Aryeh Deri, a close confidant of the premier, himself only found out about the plan when Levin unveiled it on live television.

The journalist argued that Levin, together with far-right Religious Zionism MK Simcha Rothman, another key architect of the overhaul, “took Netanyahu and the country on a nightmarish trip, the price of which so far: tens of billions for the economy, a ten percent devaluation of the shekel, eleven [fewer] mandates for the coalition.”

[…]

Netanyahu honestly did not intervene in the judicial issue at first — not because he didn’t want to, but because he was really afraid that he would be ordered to recuse,” he added, referring to a conflict of interest arrangement barring the premier from involvement in matters that could impact his ongoing criminal trial.

Segal said that while Netanyahu believes he has space for overhaul negotiations until November, the High Court will hold hearings in September on the recently passed reasonableness law, potentially reducing the prime minister’s room for maneuver.

“I suggest to all sides, really to all sides, to put aside their nuclear weapons — each side has them — and start talking now, and for Netanyahu to intervene,” Segal wrote.

Sabbath delight: “The Bit Player”, movie about Claude Shannon

Claude Shannon may not have been “the” inventer of digital information transmission — Samuel Morse and Jean-Maurice-Emile Baudot come to mind as pioneers in digital text transmission — but he was the first to make the conceptual switch that any type of information — yes, even music, as I typically feature on Shabbat! — can be represented in this manner. He was to information theory (and error correction, data compression,…) what Alan Turing was to computing more broadly.

Here is an excellent documentary on his life, in English with subtitles in Brazilian Portuguese.

Enjoy, have a great weekend, and Shabbat Shalom