A must-see and two must-reads about the US election

(0) As an actual scientist, I get a little fatigued by people invoking ‘belief in science’ to justify their political obsessions. “The People’s Cube”, a satire site run by Oleg Atbashian (who’s actually lived under ‘scientific socialism’ and hence has a lifelong aversion to it) responds with this cartoon:

And yes, speaking as somebody who crunches data for a living: everything I’ve seen about the PA, GA, MI, and WI elections stinks to high heaven.

(1) Via the Twitter feed of Ron Coleman, have a look at this thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1332920839235399681.html

[quote] READ THIS: “I am a pollster and I find this election to be deeply puzzling.”

1. “President Trump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent.” [Thread 1/13] 
2. “Trump’s vote increased so much because, according to exit polls, he performed far better with many key demographic groups. Ninety-five percent of Republicans voted for him.” 
3. “He earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960. Trump grew his support among black voters by 50 percent over 2016… Joe Biden’s black support fell well below 90 percent, the level below which Democratic presidential candidates usually lose.” 
4. “Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35 percent. With 60 percent or less of the national Hispanic vote, it is arithmetically impossible for a Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico.” 
5. “Bellwether states swung further in Trump’s direction than in 2016. Florida, Ohio and Iowa each defied America’s media polls with huge wins for Trump. Since 1852, only Richard Nixon has lost the electoral college after winning this trio”… 
6. “Midwestern states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin always swing in the same direction as Ohio and Iowa, their regional peers. Ohio likewise swings with Florida. Current tallies show that, outside of a few cities, the Rust Belt swung in Trump’s direction.” 
7. “Yet, Biden leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin because of an apparent avalanche of black votes in Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee. Biden’s ‘winning’ margin was derived almost entirely from such voters in these cities”… 
8. “… as coincidentally his black vote spiked only in exactly the locations necessary to secure victory. e did not receive comparable levels of support among comparable demographic groups in comparable states, which is highly unusual for the presidential victor.” 
9. “We are told that Biden won more votes nationally than any presidential candidate in history. But he won a record low of 17 percent of counties; he only won 524 counties, as opposed to the 873 counties Obama won in 2008. Yet, Biden somehow outdid Obama in total votes.” 
10. “Victorious presidential candidates, especially challengers, usually have down-ballot coattails; Biden did not. The Republicans held the Senate and enjoyed a ‘red wave’ in the House, where they gained a large number of seats while winning all 27 toss-up contests.” 
11. “Trump’s party did not lose a single state legislature and actually made gains at the state level.” 
12. “Another anomaly is found in the comparison between the polls and non-polling metrics. The latter include: party registrations trends; candidates’ respective primary votes; candidate enthusiasm; social media followings; broadcast and digital media ratings; online searches”… “Adding to the mystery is a cascade of information about the bizarre manner in which so many ballots were accumulated and counted. The following peculiarities also lack compelling explanations”… SEE https://spectator.us/reasons-why-the-2020-presidential-election-is-deeply-puzzling/🔻

[unquote]

(1) The intrepid Tim Pool shows the rule of broken clocks also applies to Fareed Zakaria — who predicted back in September this may end with a contingent election in the House, and then even mentioned Trump having a lead on election night and it being overturned by ‘pallets full of ballots’ for Biden in some swing states).

Tim explains how, if GOP-majority state legislatures in places like PA decide the election has been irredeemably rigged in their state and refuse to send D electors, a situation may exist on January 6 in which no candidtae has 270 electors. In that case, the election goes to the House, but with one vote for each state delegation. Since the GOP controls the majority of state houses, this may well result in a Trump victory. Expect “peaceful” protests to become more violent and unhinged still — would Trump, no longer eligible for re-election, take the gloves off?

Conversely, if the Democrat[-in-name-only] party does succeed in installing President-Select Trojan Horse[‘s ass] Biden, despite everything, this may well turn out to be a Pyrrhic victory. As a friend who’s generally a very astute political observer commented: right now the D[INO] coalition is so internally contradictory (as became evident in the circular firing squad following the lackluster House results) that it can only be held together by daily “Two Minutes Hate” against Emmanuel Goldstein, er, Donald Trump. Once he’s gone, internecine warfare between the factions will begin.

(3) Back to Ron Coleman, in another twitter thread:

[quote]

I had lunch with a very wise friend yesterday. He had a number of observations about the current crisis. The first is that, if indeed it’s Biden, liberals are going to be horrified by what he delivers. Nothing “liberal” or “progressive” will happen.

The middle and working classes are being destroyed and that will continue to its conclusion. The Swamp creatures in the wings will also crush anyone associated with Trump or populism, including platforms, professionals and vendors.

The uber rich will get richer as Wall Street continues acting as the CCP’s finance and propaganda arm as well as the mechanism for transferring vast amounts of taxpayer money to Wall Street and the CCP.

OTOH we agreed that, as the actual voting showed, there’s less trust and deference to traditional institutions than ever before. Their trust equity is near bottom. Because they won’t be able to control the population by lying, they’ll use more coercive means. Regular folks are seeing and contemplating civil disobedience and social disruption in a whole new light, though. And they are going to start planning it and doing it. Moral qualms and civic duty are off the table: this “election” proved that it’s eat or be eaten.>

The disintegration of the old American, largely inherited Anglo-Saxon social order that the power structure relied on began, ironically, with the destruction of civic norms via Covid lockdowns. People no longer interact or deal with each other in person. New game is on. >

Government is trusted only by those profiting from it personally. Everyone knows legislatures no longer function at all. Judges have no courage and decide cases based on politics. Governors are lawless tyrants and the presumptive new SCOTUS is a golem. New game, as I said. >

Universities will crumble as their value for all but the super rich as finishing schools and indoctrination centers, combined with absurd costs and an environment that teaches adolescents only social and sexual dysfunction, makes them a ridiculous value proposition. >

Ironically though even the elite schools and networks will suffer as social, economic and civic life become more atomic and technological. The interpersonal relationships that are built by years of in person serial interactions asking elites will no longer occur. >

[…thread picked up again next morning…] Good morning. The first point I left out is the obvious domination of the technology behemoths in what is essentially a regime of authoritarian corporatism that makes talk of civil rights and justice quite irrelevant. I’ve been tweeting about that for years of course.

The salient point here (and it’s one Thomas Wictor made this week) is that the people in charge of these companies are at once moral retards yet preen about what they think is a moral superiority which to them justifies every act of censorship, lying and oppression.

[…] 1) Don’t underestimate the ambitions of Jill Biden. Some might think they’ll marginalize (or discard) the old man – and they may – but they’re going to have to go through Jill to do so.

(2) Harris is complete[ly] bereft of principle and is absolutely OWNED…lock, stock, and barrel by Silicon Valley and Wall St. IMO, in politics, there are basically 3 types of people…Crusaders (i.e. Obama), Gangsters (i.e. Clinton), and Groupies.

(Groupies are those in the political entourage, the courtesans, the journalist hacks, the activists, the “lawn sign” set, etc.) Harris, like Biden, is a gangster. She’s not a true progressive…she is an ugly narcissist and a power-hungry, political “street walker.” There isn’t a genuinely progressive bone in Harr[i]s’s body. She’ll do whatever her overlords tell her to do. All of that progressive shtick is for the “little people”…the suckers.

2 thoughts on “A must-see and two must-reads about the US election

  1. –Since 1852, only Richard Nixon has lost the electoral college after winning this trio”…–

    What a coinky-dink. 1960 just happens to be another election stolen by the Dems.

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